At the end of August, Patron Saint of Strong Towns Thinking Nassim Taleb gave a lecture on risk and risk management. For those of you that believe that, with enough data, we can model the future, this is a must watch. For everyone else, this is a must watch.
Personally, I can't get enough of Taleb and watch/listen to every recorded word of his that I can. I'm convinced he will be talked about centuries from now the way we talk about Adam Smith; a brilliant philosopher who saw things in plain site that others missed. He's also sometimes as difficult to follow as Smith. Keep working at it; I promise you it is worth it.